Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If China attacks Taiwan, will they fight US forces within a month??

Manifold Markets quota No al 50.4% al 26 ottobre 2026.

If China attacks Taiwan, will they fight US forces within a month?

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 50.4%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 21 ore fa

Obsoleto

24 ott 22, 08:42 UTC2 feb 30, 05:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

This market resolves YES if this market resolves YES, and within a month from that time, a Chinese military unit has either:

Killed a deployed member of the US military.
Fired on a US military vehicle or base.
This market resolves NO if this doesn't happen within a month of the resolution of the previously mentioned market.
If that market resolves NO or N/A, this market resolves N/A.