If a House vote on Hegseth Impeachment happens in 2026, How many Republicans vote to impeach?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USA1m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale1 or more 99%In testa tra 12 esiti
Previsori
21
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+49.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
8 nov 26, 20:07 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiHow many U.S. reps vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- Precondition: This market resolves N/A across all options if the U.S. House of Representatives does not hold a roll call vote on at least one resolution or article impeaching Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth during calendar year 2026.
- If a qualifying roll call vote occurs, each threshold option resolves independently based on the official number of House Republicans who vote "Yea" on the impeachment resolution:
- If multiple votes occur, resolves based on the first impeachment vote.
- Independents who caucus with republicans count as republicans.
- Resolves based on the actual impeachment vote, not any vote that may allow it to be voted on etc