Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeElectoral democracy 79%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto23 ott 25, 13:55 UTC1 giu 27, 22:59 UTC
Trend
0.2%
0.1%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2028?
Manifold MarketsHow will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2027?
Manifold MarketsUnited Kingdom’s government budget balance in 2026
KalshiWill the United Kingdom become more authoritarian in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ye visit The United Kingdom this year?
KalshiNext government of the United Kingdom?
KalshiRegole
Resolves at the classification of the UK according to the Regimes of the World data, up to now published by V-DEM, in 2026.
- Update 2025-10-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market will resolve according to the Regimes of the World classification system, which uses the following categories:
- the named outcome
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+60.0pt71%
- claude-opus-5-max+1.0pt7%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 132,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 100,3K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+4.8pt60.8%
- ChatGPT+0.5pt25.5%
- Grok-3.4pt5.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+1.0pt86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+22.0pt62.2%
- 2027+11.0pt28.6%
- 2026+4.5pt9.2%
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+5.0pt80.4%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt12.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 322,4K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-1.0pt66%
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+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
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- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Electoral democracy al 79% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026??
- How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 giugno 2027.
- Come viene liquidato How will the United Kingdom be classed by Regimes of the World in 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves at the classification of the UK according to the Regimes of the World data, up to now published by V-DEM, in 2026.