Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeMore than 10x 36%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto14 lug 26, 00:30 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the market for AI Inference chips be 2X larger than the market for training chips at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the market for AI Inference chips be 5X larger than the market for training chips at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill there be an AI inference compute crunch in 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the market for AI inference chips be MUCH larger than the market for training chips at the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpenRouter AI token usage in October
KalshiOpenRouter token usage in Oct 19–25
KalshiRegole
Resolution criteria
- Primary metric: The year-over-year growth multiplier in global AI inference token usage (measured either as total annual tokens processed or average monthly/daily tokens processed) from the full year 2029 to the full year 2030.
- Answer options:
- the named outcome: Growth is less than a 2-fold increase (a multiplier of < 2.0x, i.e., < 100% growth).
- the named outcome: Growth is at least 2.0x but less than 5.0x.
- the named outcome: Growth is at least 5.0x but less than 10.0x.
