Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeMore than 10x 36%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto14 lug 26, 00:30 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC
Trend
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- Primary metric: The year-over-year growth multiplier in global AI inference token usage (measured either as total annual tokens processed or average monthly/daily tokens processed) from the full year 2029 to the full year 2030.
- Answer options:
- the named outcome: Growth is less than a 2-fold increase (a multiplier of < 2.0x, i.e., < 100% growth).
- the named outcome: Growth is at least 2.0x but less than 5.0x.
- the named outcome: Growth is at least 5.0x but less than 10.0x.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How much will global AI inference token usage grow from 2029 to 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota More than 10x al 36% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How much will global AI inference token usage grow from 2029 to 2030??
- How much will global AI inference token usage grow from 2029 to 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.
- Come viene liquidato How much will global AI inference token usage grow from 2029 to 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria