How much time will pass between an LLM being released that beats GPT4 and the next OpenAI LLM being released? (+ANSWERS)

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Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How much time will pass between an LLM being released that beats GPT4 and the next OpenAI LLM being released? (+ANSWERS)?

Manifold Markets quota 1 month al 27.2% al 27 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve How much time will pass between an LLM being released that beats GPT4 and the next OpenAI LLM being released? (+ANSWERS)?

How much time will pass between an LLM being released that beats GPT4 and the next OpenAI LLM being released? (+ANSWERS) dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.

Come viene liquidato How much time will pass between an LLM being released that beats GPT4 and the next OpenAI LLM being released? (+ANSWERS)?

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Inspired by this xeet https://twitter.com/chheplo/status/1762169694516301944

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POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+11.0pt94%
• December 15,+10.0pt92%
• November 30,+28.5pt89%

+15 altri esiti

Volume totale

5,2 Mln €

Volume 24h

319,2K €

KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+3.0pt95.5%
• Before Mar 1, 2027+4.0pt95%
• Before Jan 1, 2027+14.0pt

KALSHI

What will JD Vance say during his rally in Kansas?

• Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime+19.0pt99.5%
• America First+72.0pt99.5%
• American Dream+65.0pt

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+0.5pt28.9%
• $2.0–$2.25T+4.0pt24%
• $1.5–$1.75T-2.4pt16.4%

+7 altri esiti

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+2.9pt59.5%
• Gemini-0.9pt30.1%
• ChatGPT-0.1pt

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-7.5pt48%
• 2026-1.6pt13%

+1 altri esiti

Volume totale

968,5K €

Volume 24h

68K €

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