Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale1 85.8%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
51
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto16 gen 26, 04:26 UTC20 gen 29, 12:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which case will have its central holding overturned before the scheduled end of Donald Trump's term as president?
Manifold MarketsWill Elon Musk be in prison by the end of Donald Trump’s term?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the 51st state in Trump's term?
KalshiWill Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations during Trump's term?
KalshiWill a new Constitutional Amendment be added during Trump's term?
KalshiWhat percent of Project 2025 will be accomplished by the end of Trump's term?
Manifold MarketsRegole
In his physical possession or ownership, regardless of how he got them.
- Update 2026-01-16 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market is about the physical Nobel Prize medal(s) in Trump's possession or ownership, not the prize designation itself.
- The medal can be transferred or change hands regardless of who originally won the Nobel Prize.
Mercati aperti
AI
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume totale
- 224,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5K €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 344,9K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How many Nobel Prize Medals will Donald Trump have at the end of his term??
- Manifold Markets quota 1 al 86% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How many Nobel Prize Medals will Donald Trump have at the end of his term??
- How many Nobel Prize Medals will Donald Trump have at the end of his term? dovrebbe risolversi il 20 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato How many Nobel Prize Medals will Donald Trump have at the end of his term??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: In his physical possession or ownership, regardless of how he got them.