Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale2nd, tied 41.9%-19.6ptIn testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
-19.6 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 2 ore fa
Obsoleto28 ott 25, 00:50 UTC21 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
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Manifold MarketsRegole
This question is referring to Wikipedia's list of presidents of the United States by time in office and what Donald Trump's highest position on that list will be before his death.
- Donald Trump spent 1,461 days in office during his first term.
- He regained the presidency at 12 noon, 20 January 2025.
- This market should only use Eastern Standard Time (UTC−05:00), regardless of daylight savings time.
- For purposes of this market, round to the nearest integer day when counting time spent in office.
- For instance, if a president takes office at 12 noon on 20 January of one year (with no leap day) and then leaves office at 1 am on 20 January of the next year, they will have held the office for 364 days and 13 hours (364.54 days).