Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 86.7%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto21 gen 26, 21:44 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Elizabeth Holmes be in jail on Jan 1 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Nick Reiner be pardoned by Trump?
Manifold MarketsRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiVenezuela leader end of 2026?
PolymarketRegole
I criteri di risoluzione non sono ancora disponibili per questo mercato. Questa sezione verra popolata con i prossimi aggiornamenti quando le regole della fonte saranno salvate.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.3pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 2,1 Mln €
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Nicolás Maduro-32.6pt51.5%
- Delcy Rodríguez+35.5pt47.5%
- No Head of State-0.3pt1%
+13 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.3pt16%
- Ron DeSantis-0.1pt3%
+39 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS-Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- September 2097%
- September 25-7.5pt84%
- September 30-3.5pt77%
+3 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.5pt90.1%
- Republican Party-1.3pt9.9%
- Volume totale
- 29,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 621,3K €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt94%
- Yes-2.0pt6%
- Volume totale
- 19,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 488,1K €
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- What will Trump say this week?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
- Los Angeles Mayor winner?
- Trump x Greenland deal signed by which date?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Elizabeth Holmes pardoned by Trump in 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 87% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Elizabeth Holmes pardoned by Trump in 2026??
- Elizabeth Holmes pardoned by Trump in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.