Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeAbove 56 12.8%-0.2ptIn testa tra 14 esiti
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+5.7 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto29 ott 26, 07:12 UTC1 feb 29, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which Democratic senate candidates will lead in the Nate Silver polling average on election day?
Manifold MarketsDemocratic Senate odds on November 1?
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PolymarketDemocratic Senate odds on November 2?
Manifold MarketsDemocratic odds of senate control on Tuesday November 3 2026?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is the Democratic Senate candidate for Maine, will they win the 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxdsenateseats/democratic-senate-seats/kxdsenateseats-29
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Kalshi's rules: If the Democratic party has exactly 53 Senate seats on Feb 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
