Conditional on being elected president, will Ron DeSantis be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USACriminalità e giustizia3a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 82%
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3
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto21 mag 23, 00:22 UTC1 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
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N/A if DeSantis is not elected.
- Otherwise resolves the same as the unconditional version:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/ScroogeMcDuck/will-ron-desantis-american-politici) Probably the conditional is significantly higher because it increases the motivation of DAs who have a lot of discretion.
