Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeIowa 15.8%-0.9ptIn testa tra 21 esiti
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+1.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 46 minuti fa
In ritardo25 set 26, 03:42 UTC3 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxclosestsenate/closest-senate-race/kxclosestsenate-27jan03
- Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
- Resolves to the state that has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027