KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Texas 16.2%In testa tra 17 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualita del mercato
59 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
16,4K €
Liquidità
215,3K €
Alta liquiditàDati di mercato
Aggiornato 27 minuti fa
30 mag 26, 21:303 gen 27, 4:59
Trend
Regole
If Minnesota has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:official state or local election division websitesthe official electoral commissions or secretaries of state for each jurisdiction holding elections withinofficial government websites of the relevant jurisdictionsThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersBloomberg NewsCNNNBC NewsABC NewsCBS NewsFox NewsThe Wall Street JournalThe Washington PostPoliticoFiveThirtyEightBallotpedia
- Margin of victory is calculated as the absolute percentage point difference between first and second place finishers.
- For two-candidate races, this is winner's percentage minus runner-up's percentage.
- For multi-candidate races, only the gap between first and second counts.
- For ranked choice/instant runoff elections, the margin from the final round is used.
- If official results aren't available by the deadline but at least 95% of expected vote is counted, preliminary results are used.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Riferimento CoinRithm Texas 17% · 3 piattaforme · banda di 2 pt
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Closest Senate race in 2026??
- Kalshi quota Texas al 16% al 22 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Closest Senate race in 2026??
- Closest Senate race in 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Closest Senate race in 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Minnesota has the smallest margin of victory among all elections in the 2026 United States Senate elections as of Jan 3, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato Closest Senate race in 2026??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket, PredictIt.