Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 51%
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18
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto10 ago 26, 18:38 UTC1 feb 27, 05:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Further substantive progress on the Riemann Hypothesis by which date?
PolymarketOpenAI discovers the first proof of the Riemann Hypothesis before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill LLMs improve any major aspect of the Riemann hypothesis by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhen will the Riemann hypothesis be solved?
KalshiAI program resolves Riemann Hypothesis before 2035
Manifold MarketsWill CMI declare the Riemann Hypothesis solved by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Context: https://www.anthropic.com/research/riemann-zeta
- Resolves yes if somebody improves on the lower bound before 2027.
- Resolves even if Claude’s proof is shown to be flawed, as long as it’s proven the lower bound is above the one claimed by Claude
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 325K €
- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 altri esiti
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Claude Riemann Hypothesis Lower Bound improved upon before 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 51% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Claude Riemann Hypothesis Lower Bound improved upon before 2027??
- Claude Riemann Hypothesis Lower Bound improved upon before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Claude Riemann Hypothesis Lower Bound improved upon before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Context: https://www.anthropic.com/research/riemann-zeta