Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 78.2%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto25 mar 25, 05:23 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Apple purchase CXMT memory chips in 2026?
PolymarketWill Huawei ship at least one million 910C chips in 2026?
Manifold Markets[Metaculus] Will a Chinese firm make a large order of domestic AI chips before 2027?
Manifold MarketsChina provides Russia >100k AI chips by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
PolymarketAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves yes if China is able to produce <= 3 nm chips at a ~70% yield rate.
- Will settle to credible sources, such as SemiAnalysis reports.
- Company press reports would not count.
- Considerations
- "Yield rate" refers to the percentage of functioning chips produced from each silicon wafer.
- A 70% yield rate is considered reasonably good for semiconductor manufacturing.
Mercati aperti
Tech
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $76,750 or above99%
- $76,500 or above99%
- $76,250 or above99%
+77 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 Mln €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 802,6K €
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,547.84 target
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume totale
- 736,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 585,6K €
KALSHIBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- $72,500 or above+2.0pt99%
- $72,000 or above+3.0pt99%
- $69,500 or above+1.0pt98%
+47 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- 180-199+10.0pt31.4%
- 200-219+8.0pt22.9%
- 160-179-4.0pt19.1%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 88° to 89°+9.0pt37%
- 90° or above+11.0pt28%
- 86° to 87°-12.0pt25%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Where will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- Nasdaq-100 price on Sep 8, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Best AI at the end of 2026?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- ETH price on Sep 8, 2026 at 2pm EDT?
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per China produces 3nm chips before 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 78% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve China produces 3nm chips before 2027??
- China produces 3nm chips before 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato China produces 3nm chips before 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves yes if China is able to produce <= 3 nm chips at a ~70% yield rate.