Manifold MarketsSenza KYCPrevisione della comunità attuale+3% or more (>=68%) 12.2%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 29 giorni fa
Obsoleto8 giu 26, 11:282 mag 27, 3:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
+3% or more (>=68%)12%
Mercati Correlati
When "Will Masking Return"? (widespread mask mandates in the USA)
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Major protest in Jul 2026?
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KALSHI
KALSHI
Graham Platner divorce by October 31?
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POLYMARKET
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MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Prince Andrew testify publicly before Congress in 2026?
0 €Sì: 9%
PREDICTIT
PREDICTITAttivi in questi argomenti
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Each year, Gallup runs a survey asking Americans "Do you think marriages between same-sex couples should or should not be recognized by the law as valid, with the same rights as traditional marriages?" The most recent such poll, run in May 2026, showed support at 65%.
- How much will the results change between then and the May 2027 poll?
- Since 2016, the results have been, in chronological order: 61%, 64%, 67%, 63%, 67%, 70%, 71%, 71%, 69%, 68%, 65%.
- I will not bet on this market.