Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 84%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 22 ore fa
Obsoleto9 mag 25, 14:04 UTC31 dic 39, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the roman catholic church permit the ordination of trans male priests by 2040?
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance be excommunicated by the Catholic Church during Trump's presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill the Catholic Church train a PopeGPT and endorse it as doctrinally sound by end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill the Catholic Church take an unambiguous stand against AI within 2030?
Manifold MarketsRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
FutuurAnthropic IPO by which date?
PolymarketRegole
Will resolve positively if by 2040 Catholic church officially reconizes that at least some AIs may have souls.
- In the context of this question, AI includes any sort of entities executed on a traditional or quantum computer, including ML models, code and full brain emulations.
- For the question to resolve as YES, the Catholic church has to either explicitly declare that AIs have souls, or to declare that AIs have moral standing at least at the level of higher animals.
- Recognizing that an AIs can sin or suffer also qualifies.
- If by 2040-01-01 I haven't seen any relevant news and none have been linked in this posts comments, I will resolve the questions as NO by default.
- I do not bet on my own questions.
