Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeJan 1st 2050 40%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto22 set 25, 13:03 UTC1 gen 00, 14:02 UTC
Trend
Regole
If the Whitehouse officially acknowledges that non-human intelligence exists and has been kept hidden from the public (official disclosure) all future dates will resolve "yes".
- As dates pass in the absence of official public acknowledgement, they will resolve "no".
- Update 2025-09-22 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For this market, non-human intelligence means intelligent life not created by modern human technology.
- A Yes includes official Whitehouse acknowledgement of: aliens (extraterrestrial, interdimensional, oceanic), angels, ancient artificial intelligence not created by modern humans, or a hidden fork of biological life.
- Recognition or rights granted to intelligence produced by modern AI research does not qualify.
- The acknowledgement must state that such intelligence exists and has been intentionally kept from the public.
