Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 83.2%
Previsori
279
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto12 apr 23, 01:48 UTC1 gen 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will AI-generated child porn be legalized in the US before 2030?
Manifold MarketsBy the end of 2028, will any of the Merriam-Webster Word of the Year finalists be AI-generated?
Manifold MarketsWill AI-generated music receive a Grammy nomination by end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill a movie that has at least some AI-generated dialogue win an Oscar by EOY 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiWho is Dwarkesh's upcoming "biggest guest yet"?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Update 2026-09-15 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will be resolved based on the situation at the close of the market (end of 2028), rather than resolving immediately if the category is created at some point but later removed.
