Quali sono le probabilità attuali per By 2033, Will an AI be elected to public office in a democracy??

Manifold Markets quota No al 73.1% al 27 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve By 2033, Will an AI be elected to public office in a democracy??

By 2033, Will an AI be elected to public office in a democracy? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2033.

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 73.1%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 9 ore fa

Obsoleto

25 mar 23, 06:32 UTC1 gen 33, 02:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

If it is revealed that an artificial intelligence was elected to public office, this market solves to YES.

I will rely on evidence from the major news outlets.
If an AI elected but the public doesn't know, the market nonetheless solves to YES (e.g: the face is just someone that speakes whatever the AI tells him to say)
I won't bet on this market and I will hold a low bar for what it would mean, but nonetheless relying in the mainstream media.