Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 86.3%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto24 nov 25, 07:43 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Candace Owens divorced by December 31, 2027?
PolymarketBrigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?
KalshiWill Candace Owens run for president before the end of 2032 as joked by Sam Harris?
Manifold MarketsWill Candace Owens ever become the President of the USA?
Manifold MarketsWill Candace Owens divorce George Farmer before the end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsNothing Ever Happens: 2026
PolymarketRegole
Candace Owen’s claimed on Twitter that French president, Emmanuel Macron, is plotting to have her murdered.
- The market resolves to Yes if at least one major news outlet (e.g., NYT, Washington Post, LA Times) reports that the incident was an independent attack on her.
- If any such report characterizes the incident as possibly staged or not clearly an independent attack, the market will not resolve to Yes.”