At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena?

Domande frequenti

Quali sono le probabilità attuali per At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 89.7% al 29 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena??

At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.

Come viene liquidato At the end of 2026, will there be any European model that ranks higher than a model currently on LLM Agent Arena??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if there is a model released by a European company, listed on https://arena.ai/leaderboard/agent, that ranks higher than at least one model that is currently listed on the leaderboard.

Usa questo mercato nel codice o in un agente IA

JSON gratuito per questo mercato, senza chiave API:

Agenti IA: chiama pm_data_event sul server MCP di CoinRithm:

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini+17.9pt46%
• Claude-15.0pt44.6%
• ChatGPT+0.1pt7.3%

+5 altri esiti

Volume totale

14,3 Mln €

Volume 24h

201,6K €

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+2.5pt99%
• OpenAI+0.6pt1%
• Alibaba0%

+18 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google+17.0pt51.5%
• Anthropic-15.0pt40.6%
• OpenAI-0.5pt5%

+12 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T-1.5pt28.3%
• $2.0–$2.25T-3.3pt21.2%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.1pt18.2%

+7 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO by which date?

• December 31,+0.3pt95%
• December 15,+1.5pt93%
• November 30,+2.0pt88%

+15 altri esiti

POLYMARKET

What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?

• $1.25T–$1.5T+1.6pt21%
• <$1T-0.8pt19%
• $1.5T–$1.75T-1.4pt18%

+5 altri esiti

• Open vs. Closed Token Volume (open weights share) in Oct 28, 2026
• Gemini Carbon released by which date?
• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
• Google market share this week
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• DeepSeek market share this week
• Gemini Carbon: Text Arena Debut?