At the beginning of 2027, will Americans like Sam Altman more than they like Mark Zuckerberg?
IAOne-OffTecnologia2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 62.6%
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto4 apr 24, 05:59 UTC2 gen 27, 07:59 UTC
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This resolves based on the net-positivity score of the most recent polls I can find asking Americans, age 18 and above, what their opinion of Sam Altman and Mark Zuckerberg are.
- (I might get estimates for each from different polls or from the same poll).
- Net-positivity scores are calculated as (sum of percentage of the population that has an overall positive sentiment) - (sum of percentage of the population that has an overall negative sentiment).
- For instance, according to this YouGov poll of 1500 US adult citizens,from November 2023,
- 5% have a very favorable opinion of Sam Altman.
- 11% have a somewhat favorable opinion of him.
