Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 65.7%
Previsori
8
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto1 lug 26, 20:40 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who cancels the SpaceX–Anthropic compute deal first?
Manifold MarketsBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
PolymarketWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketQwen market share this week
KalshiRegole
Resolves YES if, before 2028, Anthropic and Meta enter a binding agreement in which Anthropic buys or leases compute capacity or cloud/inference services from Meta.
- Any deal size counts, but it must be a signed commercial agreement, not talks, an LOI, or "exploring."
- Anthropic merely using a third-party cloud that itself rents from Meta does NOT count.
- Otherwise resolves NO.
Mercati aperti
AIPOLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+24.5pt89%
- 2026+59.0pt82%
- September 30, 2026+56.0pt63%
- Volume totale
- 93,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 59,5K €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.9pt58.1%
- ChatGPT+1.0pt22.9%
- Grok+3.2pt8.6%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETOpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027+53.0pt93%
- 2026+53.5pt73%
- September 30, 2026+51.5pt57%
KALSHIAnthropic market share this week
- Above 2.25%-7.0pt88%
- Above 2.45%79%
- Above 2.6%+16.0pt56%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 60,8K €
POLYMARKETWhich Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Hodge Conjecture50.5%
- Birch and Swinnerton-Dyer27.1%
- No solution by Dec 31, 202710.3%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 32,3K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.0pt89%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,84%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,4 Mln €
- Tencent market share this week
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic announces a Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- DeepSeek market share this week
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Time's Person of the Year for 2026
- OpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Anthropic signs compute deal with Meta by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 66% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Anthropic signs compute deal with Meta by end of 2027??
- Anthropic signs compute deal with Meta by end of 2027? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Anthropic signs compute deal with Meta by end of 2027??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves YES if, before 2028, Anthropic and Meta enter a binding agreement in which Anthropic buys or leases compute capacity or cloud/inference services from Meta.