Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92.6%
Previsori
11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
12 mar 26, 12:48 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court?
KalshiWill Brazil's Senate open impeachment proceedings against Alexandre de Moraes?
KalshiDias Toffoli out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice by ?
FutuurImpeachment of any of Brazil's Supreme Court Justices by the end of 2026?
FutuurBrazil's Supreme Court expanded to more than 11 seats by the end of 2026?
FutuurBrazil Supreme Court decisions still behind captcha by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegole
This market resolves to “Yes” if Alexandre de Moraes ceases to serve as a Justice of Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court (STF) for any period of time between the market creation date and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, it resolves to “No.”
- If Alexandre de Moraes’s resignation, removal, suspension, or any other departure from the Court is officially announced before the market end date, the market will resolve to “Yes” immediately, regardless of when that change takes effect.
- Resolution will be based primarily on official statements or records from Alexandre de Moraes and the Brazilian government.
- In the absence of clear official confirmation, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
- Disponibile anche su Polymarket — Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? · No 79%
- Disponibile anche su Kalshi — Will Alexandre de Moraes leave Brazil's Supreme Court? · Before Jan 1, 2028 75%
- Disponibile anche su Futuur — Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice in 2026? · No 93%
