Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 61.9%
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto1 lug 25, 22:35 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will there be a new(ly) major war involving a nuclear power before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine suffer nuclear power plant meltdowns during the Russia war?
Manifold MarketsWill any country become a new nuclear power in 2026?
FutuurWill China intervene and offer Iran nuclear power plants, ending the war, in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Germany have nuclear power again before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWhat will happen in 2026 related to AI?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, the cumulative nameplate capacity of binding power purchase agreements (PPAs) for nuclear electricity explicitly linked to AI data center operations reaches or exceeds 15 gigawatts (GW).
- To qualify, an agreement must:
- Be legally binding, not a memorandum of understanding (MoU) or letter of intent (LOI).
- Involve named counterparties, with at least one party identified as a cloud provider, AI lab, or hyperscaler.
- Explicitly cite AI, cloud computing, or data centers as the intended energy use.
