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Metodologia
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Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto29 mag 24, 00:00 UTC1 gen 31, 04:59 UTC
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KalshiRegole
This is an attempt to forecast a realistic scenario where AI would be actually doing good (or at least interesting) philosophy by the end of 2030.
- Due to this aim, it is very specific.
- Gaston Bachelard was a French philosopher active in the first half of the 20th century.
- For the purposes of this market what matters is that he wrote five books on the psychoanalysis of the elements, i.e. fire, water, earth and air.
- Earth got two books for some reason.
- These books are a mix between a relatively detailed work of scholarship and psychoanalytical interpretation.
Mercati aperti
AIKALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 135,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 102,7K €
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- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
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- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,1 Mln €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
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- Volume totale
- 325K €
- Volume 24h
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- 1500+-3.0pt23%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per AI generated philosophy book worth reading by the end of 2030 (detailed scenario)??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 63% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve AI generated philosophy book worth reading by the end of 2030 (detailed scenario)??
- AI generated philosophy book worth reading by the end of 2030 (detailed scenario)? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2031.
- Come viene liquidato AI generated philosophy book worth reading by the end of 2030 (detailed scenario)??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This is an attempt to forecast a realistic scenario where AI would be actually doing good (or at least interesting) philosophy by the end of 2030.