Quali sono le probabilità attuali per AI "devops" #3: Will there be an AI that can manage a small cluster by 2030??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 82.5% al 31 ottobre 2026.

Come viene liquidato AI "devops" #3: Will there be an AI that can manage a small cluster by 2030??

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Scenario: an AI is given root permissions on a small cluster (10 - 100 machines).

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Sì 82.5%

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binary

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Aggiornato 39 minuti fa

4 mag 23, 21:13 UTC1 gen 30, 08:00 UTC

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Scenario: an AI is given root permissions on a small cluster (10 - 100 machines).

It is given natural language instructions with minimal technical content by a human manager (e.g. it can be told "setup slurm on the cluster" but not "download these links, run these bash scripts on each machine, ...").
For any issues involving physical issues with the cluster, the AI must be able to walk a coworker through a fix process (running a robot that fixes the issue also counts, but is not required).
The AI can be specialized to work with a particular stack (e.g. if it only knows how to use one job scheduler I'll accept that)