Quali sono le probabilità attuali per AI "devops" #1: Will there be an AI that can onboard as a dev by 2028??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 82.2% al 27 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve AI "devops" #1: Will there be an AI that can onboard as a dev by 2028??

AI "devops" #1: Will there be an AI that can onboard as a dev by 2028? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2028.

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Here is the onboarding scenario I'm envisioning:

One-OffIA1a

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

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Sì 82.2%

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binary

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Play-money forecasting platform

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Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

4 mag 23, 20:45 UTC1 gen 28, 08:00 UTC

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Here is the onboarding scenario I'm envisioning:

The AI is put on a laptop/desktop/workstation that it has root permissions on
It's given access to a shared work chat (Slack, Discord, whatever) where it can ask questions/request additional permissions/etc
It needs to setup a workstation that can pull, build, and edit at least one of the org's primary codebases.
It needs to make one accepted pull request (or equivalent concept).
The workstation can be the local machine or a cloud instance