Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 78.4%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 ore fa
Obsoleto9 gen 23, 16:11 UTC1 gen 30, 05:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US stock market increase ≥3x by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill the US stock market have experienced another lost decade before 2034?
Manifold MarketsLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketOpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketOpenAI tender offer (or equivalent) before 2027-01-01 at >$20/unit?
Manifold MarketsRegole
By market cap
Mercati aperti
EquitiesPOLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.3pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 104,6K €
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9916.8%
- 8,000 to 8,199.9914.9%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9911.2%
+24 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 5,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 79,6K €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 185,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 33,7K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+4.0pt16.5%
- 30,000 to 30,499.99+1.0pt7.2%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99-2.0pt6.2%
+27 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhat will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- ↓ $182+8.9pt100%
- ↓ $180+26.9pt100%
- ↓ $178+46.0pt100%
+17 altri esiti
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- STRC hits $100 by…
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per AI: >1% of US Stock Market (2030)?
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 78% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve AI: >1% of US Stock Market (2030)?
- AI: >1% of US Stock Market (2030) dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato AI: >1% of US Stock Market (2030)?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: By market cap