Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 83%
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo16 set 23, 20:03 UTC1 gen 34, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US stock market increase ≥3x by the end of 2028?
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Manifold MarketsAI: >1% of US Stock Market (2050)
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
KalshiRegole
For the purpose of this market, a lost decade is defined as a 10-year period where the S&P500 ends at the same level it started.
- Intraday extrema will be used to resolve this question, not closing or opening prices.
- Note: The start date of that decade can predate market creation.
- For example, if the SPX dropped below 1,729.44 on Monday, September 18th, 2023 (2 days after market creation), then the question would resolve to YES, since the high-point on September 18th, 2013, was 1,729.44.