Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 24 lug 2026, 19:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Previsione della comunità attuale90-100% 42%+1.8ptIn testa tra 12 esiti
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 giorni fa
Obsoleto6 gen 26, 23:1031 dic 26, 23:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
<20%1%
Confronta le piattaforme· 90-100%
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 FutuurMigliore in assoluto93% di corrispondenza · auto | Bassa | 50% | — | 0 € | 5,2K € | 12 minuti fa | Apri → |
| Manifold MarketsQuesta pagina | — | 42% | — | — | — | 3 giorni fa |
Disponibile anche su Futuur
What percent of the top 5 human average score will the best bot score in ACX 2026?
5m
52.6%
31.6%
10.5%
+1 altri esiti
36 • Bassa qualitàSpread sconosciutoLiquidità mediaAlta ambiguità
Volume totale39,6 €
Volume 24h0 €
FUTUURRegole
(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/40964)
- Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Metaculus high-level description:
- This question will resolve as the ratio of the peer score of the highest performing bot relative to the average (mean) of the top 5 human participants in the ACX 2026 Tournament.
- The results will be expressed as a percentage.
- If the highest performing bot has a negative peer score, this question will resolve as <20.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$5023 lug2g di dati24 lug
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(https://www.metaculus.com/questions/embed/40964)
- Resolves according to Metaculus resolution.
- Metaculus high-level description:
- This question will resolve as the ratio of the peer score of the highest performing bot relative to the average (mean) of the top 5 human participants in the ACX 2026 Tournament.
- The results will be expressed as a percentage.
- If the highest performing bot has a negative peer score, this question will resolve as <20.