2026 US Senate Election: will the party of the winner of this state's senate seat go on to win senate control?
One-OffPoliticaPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20268g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeOhio 82%In testa tra 10 esiti
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto1 giu 26, 08:48 UTC4 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Each answer the resolves independently from each other.
- Resolves YES for a state, if the party who wins that senate seat controls the 2026 US Senate.
- In the case of a 50-50 tie, this is a republican controlled senate, because of the vice president's tie breaking vote.
- Example: if democrats win Alaska while republicans win Texas, with the end result being a republican controlled senate, then Alaska resolves NO while Texas resolves YES.
- You may add new answers on this market, but do note that non competitive states are discouraged because they will just be equivalent to the default "which party wins senate control" market.
- Update 2026-06-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): For independent candidates (e.g., Nebraska's Dan Osborn):
