Will Dan Osborn be elected to Nebraska's US Senate seat in 2026?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneElezioni di metà mandato USA 20262m
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 72.4%
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
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Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
3 mar 26, 13:59 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution Criteria
- The market resolves YES if Dan Osborn wins the U.S. Senate election for Nebraska held on November 3, 2026, and NO otherwise.
- Resolution will be determined by official results from the Nebraska Secretary of State or major news outlets reporting the final vote count.
- Osborn ran a surprisingly competitive campaign in 2024 against Senator Deb Fischer, losing by a narrow margin, and is now running against Republican Senator Pete Ricketts.
- His 2024 performance was the best ever for an independent candidate in a Nebraska US Senate race.
- Osborn is a mechanic and Navy veteran running as an independent.
