Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Cuba still a one-party state at the end of 2026??

Futuur quota Yes al 91% al 31 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Cuba still a one-party state at the end of 2026??

Cuba still a one-party state at the end of 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.

FutuurVerifica disponibilitàDati di risoluzione verificati

Probabilità implicita attuale

Sì 91%

Qualità del mercato

31 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

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Liquidità

375,3 €

Bassa liquidità

Trader

Commenti

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 minuto fa

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

This event predicts whether Cuba will continue to operate as a one-party state through December 31, 2026.

For this market, a one-party state means that only a single political party is legally recognized to govern.
The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Cuban government or constitutional announcements regarding party recognition.
If Cuba continues to legally recognize only one governing political party through the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
Partial recognition of opposition parties without genuine legal pluralism may require intent-based judgment by Futuur.