Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 20:15 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 69.8%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto2 dic 25, 01:28 UTC31 dic 39, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
[Metaculus] Will small modular nuclear reactors supply at least 1% of any nation's electricity by 2030?
Manifold MarketsHow many USNC micro-modular reactors will be in operation in 2030? (x5)
Manifold MarketsHow much small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) capacity in US by 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill a small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) for electricity generation be operating in Australia by Jan 1 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill Tesla have a 0-60mph < 1 sec car before 2028?
Manifold MarketsSpaceX' Market Cap end of October 2026?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves as YES if there is strong evidence that the United Kingdom has at least 10 working small modular nuclear reactor (SMR) units before January 1st 2040.
- For this market:
- “SMR” definition:
- A reactor counts as an SMR if its electrical capacity is ≤ 300 MWe, in line with common IAEA / industry definitions, or if it is explicitly described as a “small modular reactor” (or “advanced modular reactor”) by the UK government, the operator, or major international nuclear bodies.
- Only fission reactors count.
- Fusion devices do not count.
