Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Sì 50.8%
Previsori
14
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto11 set 26, 19:40 UTC27 ott 26, 17:00 UTC
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which central banks will raise interest rates in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in October 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExWill the Fed raise the rate 25bps in December 2026? (Interest rates) (Rate hike cut) (Monetary policy) (FOMC) (Central bank)?
ForecastExECB Interest Rates: October 2026
PolymarketECB Interest Rates: October 2026
LimitlessWill Fed raise interest rates in 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolve YES if the Federal Open Market Committee increases the target range for the federal funds rate at its October 27–28, 2026 meeting relative to the target range in effect immediately before the meeting.
- Resolve NO if the FOMC leaves the target range unchanged or lowers it.
- Resolution will be based on the first official Federal Reserve monetary policy statement issued for the October 27–28, 2026 FOMC meeting.
- The size of the increase does not matter.
- Any increase in the target range counts as YES.
- Changes to forward guidance, the balance sheet, quantitative tightening, Treasury operations, or any other policy measure do not count unless the target range for the federal funds rate is also increased.
Mercati aperti
FedPOLYMARKETFed Decision in October?
- 25 bps increase54.9%
- No change43.1%
- 25 bps decrease1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6,8 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 94,3K €
POLYMARKETHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
- 0 (0 bps)+0.1pt99%
- 1 (25 bps)-0.3pt1%
- 2 (50 bps)+0.1pt0%
+10 altri esiti
ROBINHOOD (ROTHERA)Fed rate decision in October 2026
- Fed maintains rate46.9%
- Hike 25bps-4.0pt46%
- Hike >25bps-2.0pt3.3%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 40,8K €
KALSHIFed decision in Oct 2026?
- Hike 25bps+1.0pt53.4%
- Fed maintains rate-1.0pt42.7%
- Hike >25bps1.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,6 Mln €
POLYMARKETAnother Fed rate hike in 2026?
- Yes+3.0pt86.1%
- No-3.0pt13.9%
- Volume totale
- 61,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 21,6K €
POLYMARKETFed Decision in December?
- 25 bps increase65.4%
- No change29.8%
- 25 bps decrease-0.1pt1.9%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Number of rate cuts in 2026?
- Fed Rate Decision (Dec 2026)
- How many Fed rate hikes in 2026?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- Fed Rate Decision (Jan 2027)
- Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?
- Fed rate cut before 2027?
- Fed decision in Dec 2026?
- Number of rate hikes in 2026?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 51% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026??
- 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 27 ottobre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato 🇺🇸 Will the Fed raise interest rates in October 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolve YES if the Federal Open Market Committee increases the target range for the federal funds rate at its October 27–28, 2026 meeting relative to the target range in effect immediately before the meeting.