KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiCalibrazione approssimativaProbabilità implicita attualeSan Diego, CA 89%In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualita del mercato
57 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
882 €
Liquidità
26,1K €
Alta liquiditàBid / Ask
38.0% / 43.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 18 minuti fa
13 mag 26, 23:0031 dic 26, 15:00
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Sacramento, CA38%
Confronta le piattaforme· San Diego, CA
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiQuesta paginaMigliore in assoluto | Media | 89% | — | 882 € | 26,1K € | 18 minuti fa | |
 Manifold Markets85% di corrispondenza · verificato | — | 100% | — | — | — | 13 giorni fa | Apri → |
Disponibile anche su Manifold Markets
Where will Waymo be available in 2026?
5m
100%
100%
100%
+16 altri esiti
Previsione della comunità33 previsoriTipo: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegole
If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Washington, DC before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Washington, DC, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.
- The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Washington, DC may be limited to certain areas.
- Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.
- Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:
- Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Washington, DC Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Washington, DC limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Washington, DC Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Washington, DC Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$1.0k2 lug27g di dati28 lug
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If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within Washington, DC before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within Washington, DC, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.
- The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within Washington, DC may be limited to certain areas.
- Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.
- Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:
- Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of Washington, DC Waymo expands from adjacent areas into Washington, DC limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within Washington, DC Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in Washington, DC Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public