KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Las Vegas, NV 87%In testa tra 21 esiti
Las Vegas, NV 87%Qualità del mercato
63 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
1,6K €
Liquidità
194,1K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
5.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 minuti fa
13 mag 26, 23:00 UTC31 dic 26, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many cities will Waymo operate in by December 31?
PolymarketWill it still be true in 2030 that "traffic deaths have not gone down in any city where Waymo is operating"?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 27, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiWhere will it rain on Sep 27, 2026?
KalshiBTC price on Oct 2, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 26 - September 28, 2026?
PolymarketRegole
If Waymo is operating commercial autonomous vehicle ride-hailing services available to the general public within the named outcome before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Waymo
- "Operating commercial services" means that members of the general public can download the Waymo app (or access Waymo through a partner app), request a ride with pickup and dropoff locations within the named outcome, and receive autonomous vehicle service for a fee.
- The service must be available to the general public without requiring special invitation codes, waitlist approval, or participation in testing programs, though geographic coverage within the named outcome may be limited to certain areas.
- Services operating exclusively with safety drivers present do not satisfy the Payout Criterion; the service must offer fully autonomous rides (without a human safety driver) at least some of the time.
- Examples that WOULD resolve to Yes:
- Waymo launches public commercial service in any part of the named outcome Waymo expands from adjacent areas into the named outcome limits Waymo operates 24/7 service or limited hours service within the named outcome Waymo offers service through the Uber app to all users in the named outcome Service is geofenced to only certain neighborhoods but is public