Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 14 lug 2026, 21:10 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Previsione della comunità attualeMiami 100%In testa tra 19 esiti
Previsori
33
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 giorni fa
Obsoleto1 dic 25, 22:2531 dic 26, 23:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
Berkeley40%
Confronta le piattaforme· Miami
Ordinato per qualità del mercato, poi liquidità e volume 24h| Piattaforma | Qualità | Probabilità | vs riferimento | Volume 24h | Liquidità | Aggiornamento | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMigliore in assoluto85% di corrispondenza · verificato | Bassa | 89% | — | 15,4 € | 25,6K € | 8 minuti fa | Apri → |
| Manifold MarketsQuesta pagina | — | 100% | — | — | — | 12 giorni fa |
Disponibile anche su Kalshi
Where will Waymo operate in 2026?
4.0 pts5m
89%
-3.0pt85%
-4.0pt80%
+7 altri esiti
49 • Bassa qualitàSpread moderatoAlta liquidità
Volume totale45,2K €
Volume 24h15,4 €
KALSHIRegole
If the Waymo service area overlaps with the city limits at all, that's good enough.
- If only a minority of people have access, it will resolved based on whether any of them got this access by luck or signing up early, rather than by being Waymo employees, journalists, or famous.
- If the cars arrive with Waymo employees in them, or even in the driver seats, the answer resolves Yes if i can find any credible evidence of 1 trip where it's plausible the car was doing more than half of the driving work.
- If it's hard to find evidence of any such trips, it'll resolve No.
- When Waymo launches somewhere, that answer will resolve Yes.
- If they suspend service etc, it will still stay a Yes.
I dati di confronto sono solo informativi. I prezzi e la liquidità possono variare.
Trend del volume
$28213 lug2g di dati14 lug
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If the Waymo service area overlaps with the city limits at all, that's good enough.
- If only a minority of people have access, it will resolved based on whether any of them got this access by luck or signing up early, rather than by being Waymo employees, journalists, or famous.
- If the cars arrive with Waymo employees in them, or even in the driver seats, the answer resolves Yes if i can find any credible evidence of 1 trip where it's plausible the car was doing more than half of the driving work.
- If it's hard to find evidence of any such trips, it'll resolve No.
- When Waymo launches somewhere, that answer will resolve Yes.
- If they suspend service etc, it will still stay a Yes.