KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoQuesto mercato è chiuso e in attesa di una risoluzione confermata.
In attesa di risoluzione verificata
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Probabilità implicita attuale
Before Jan 1, 2028 27%In testa tra 17 esiti
Before Jan 1, 2028 27%Qualità del mercato
32 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Open interest
11,5K USD
Open interest medioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
2 giu 26, 19:00 UTC1 set 26, 03:59 UTC
Trend
Before Jan 1, 202827%
Before Aug 1, 202717%
Before Nov 1, 202716%
Before Oct 1, 202715%
Before Sep 1, 202714%
Before Dec 1, 202714%
Before Jul 1, 20279%
Before Dec 1, 20268%
Before Jan 1, 20277%
Before Feb 1, 20275%
Before Jun 1, 20275%
Before Mar 1, 20274%
Before Apr 1, 20274%
Before May 1, 20274%
Before Nov 1, 20262%
Before Sep 1, 2026Persa
Before Oct 1, 2026Persa
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Manifold MarketsRegole
La regola esatta di questo esito non è disponibile.
Si regola tramite:the New York TimesABCBloombergThe Wall Street JournalFinancial TimesCNBCReutersBBC
Regole per ogni esito
- Before Jan 1, 2028
- If Waymo confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jan 1, 2028.
- Before Aug 1, 2027
- If Waymo confirms an IPO before Aug 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Aug 1, 2027.
- Before Nov 1, 2027
- If Waymo confirms an IPO before Nov 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Nov 1, 2027.
- Before Oct 1, 2027
- If Waymo confirms an IPO before Oct 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Oct 1, 2027.
- Before Sep 1, 2027
- If Waymo confirms an IPO before Sep 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Sep 1, 2027.
- Before Dec 1, 2027
- If Waymo confirms an IPO before Dec 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Dec 1, 2027.
- Before Jul 1, 2027
- If Waymo confirms an IPO before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jul 1, 2027.
- Before Dec 1, 2026
- If Waymo confirms an IPO before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Dec 1, 2026.
- Before Jan 1, 2027
- If Waymo confirms an IPO before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jan 1, 2027.
- Before Feb 1, 2027
- If Waymo confirms an IPO before Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Feb 1, 2027.
- Before Jun 1, 2027
- If Waymo confirms an IPO before Jun 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Jun 1, 2027.
- Before Mar 1, 2027
- If Waymo confirms an IPO before Mar 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Mar 1, 2027.
- Before Apr 1, 2027
- If Waymo confirms an IPO before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Apr 1, 2027.
- Before May 1, 2027
- If Waymo confirms an IPO before May 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after May 1, 2027.
- Before Nov 1, 2026
- If Waymo confirms an IPO before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Nov 1, 2026.
- Before Sep 1, 2026
- If Waymo confirms an IPO before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Sep 1, 2026.
- Before Oct 1, 2026
- If Waymo confirms an IPO before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. An IPO is confirmed if 1) the SEC declares the company's Form S-1 effective OR 2) the IPO is priced OR 3) a securities exchange has assigned a ticker to it. As long as any of those events occur, the market will immediately resolve to Yes, even if the company does not start trading until after Oct 1, 2026.