KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Adriana Lima 11%In testa tra 22 esiti
Qualità del mercato
48 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
5,8 €
Liquidità
6,5K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
4.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
21 mag 26, 00:00 UTC31 dic 26, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026: Runway Models
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If the named outcome is documented wearing a bra designated by Victoria’s Secret as the “Fantasy Bra” during Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
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- The person must be photographed or video recorded with the article of clothing visibly worn on their body as intended (e.g., a jacket on the torso, not carried or draped).
- Valid documentation includes official event photography, live television coverage, professional photography from Source Agencies, or video footage from Source Agencies.
- The person must be clearly identifiable.
- Carrying, holding, or draping the item without properly wearing it does not qualify.
- Similar but not identical items do not satisfy the criterion.
Mercati aperti
EntertainmentPOLYMARKET"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" total domestic gross by September 30?
- 950 - 960m+18.0pt69.6%
- 940 - 950m-16.5pt26.5%
- 970m++1.1pt2%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 319,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 98K €
KALSHINext James Bond film: Actor cast as James Bond
- Jack Lowden+25.0pt67%
- Callum Turner-3.0pt21%
- Jack Barton-8.0pt20%
+27 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,8 Mln €
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- Jack Lowden+23.4pt48%
- No Bond chosen-6.3pt17%
- Jack Barton-3.5pt9%
+21 altri esiti
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- Above 45-55.0pt18%
- Above 50-59.0pt4%
- Above 55-54.0pt2%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 80K €
KALSHIPrimetime · Rotten Tomatoes score
- Above 4599%
- Above 5099%
- Above 5599%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 130,6K €
- Volume 24h
- 45,3K €
KALSHIBig Brother Season 28 · Winner
- Yash Patel+4.0pt27.7%
- Barrett Pfeiffer17%
- Drew Campbell+1.0pt13.4%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4 Mln €
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Victoria's Secret Fashion Show: Fantasy Bra wearer in 2026?
- Kalshi quota Adriana Lima al 11% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Victoria's Secret Fashion Show: Fantasy Bra wearer in 2026?
- Victoria's Secret Fashion Show: Fantasy Bra wearer in 2026 dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Victoria's Secret Fashion Show: Fantasy Bra wearer in 2026?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the named outcome is documented wearing a bra designated by Victoria’s Secret as the “Fantasy Bra” during Victoria's Secret Fashion Show 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.