KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
At least 2% 89%In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualità del mercato
34 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
4,1K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
9.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 minuti fa
1 set 26, 02:00 UTC4 ott 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Brazilian presidential election: Renan Santos vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiBrazilian presidential election: Flávio Bolsonaro vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiBrazil presidential election: Lula vote percent (1st round)
KalshiWill Lula win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ronaldo Caiado in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE)
- The percentage is Ronaldo Caiado's share of the valid votes cast in the first round, calculated as votes received divided by total valid votes cast, times 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided by the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions in the Contract, resolution uses certified official results from the Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, not preliminary results.
- Invalid, spoiled, blank, and rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, the most recent certified percentage is used.
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ronaldo Caiado in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 2% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round)?
- Kalshi quota At least 2% al 89% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round)?
- Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round) dovrebbe risolversi il 4 ottobre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Brazilian presidential election: Ronaldo Caiado vote percent (1st Round)?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Ronaldo Caiado in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election is 1% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.