Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
PoliticaOne-OffElezioneAmerica Latina4g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 79%
Previsori
29
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 minuti fa
12 gen 26, 01:01 UTC28 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PredictItBrazil Presidential Election
PolymarketRegole
This is one of 25 props in the 11th annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
- https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2026-narcissist-forecasting-contest
- The prop and any ambiguities will be resolved by a panel of human judges, as described in the fine print of the entry form:
- https://forms.gle/nDDxdxyYSNheY9FV7
- This means that the prop may resolve differently from how other, similar-looking Manifold props resolve.
- Do not bet on this market if that is going to bother you.
