Will the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
PoliticaOne-OffElezioneAmerica Latina6g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 62.8%
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Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
2 mag 24, 13:02 UTC31 ott 26, 23:59 UTC
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The Brazilian municipal elections will take place in October 2024.
- A lot of attention is gathered around the São Paulo mayoral elections, as it is the biggest city in the country and can be a thermometer for the general public's political sentiment.
- Will the result of the São Paulo mayoral elections be a good proxy for the 2026 presidential elections?
- The market resolves to YES if the results of both elections mimic each other, i.e., if a left-wing, right-wing, or centrist candidate is elected in both.
- Resolves NO otherwise.
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