KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
3.96% or above 99%+5.0ptIn testa tra 25 esiti
Qualita del mercato
47 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
441,8 €
Liquidità
6,5K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
7.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
14 ago 26, 13:0031 ago 26, 19:30
Trend
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.95% on Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Aug 31, 2026, or one week following Aug 31, 2026.
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.97% on Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.99% on Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.01% on Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.03% on Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Bonds & TreasuriesKALSHISOFR at end of Q4 2026
- Above 3.00%99%
- Above 3.25%98%
- Above 3.75%+15.0pt76%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 10,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 6K €
KALSHI30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 21, 2026?
- 5.1% or above99%
- 5.12% or above99%
- 5.2% or above+19.0pt99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 12K €
- Volume 24h
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Aug 21, 2026?
- 4.55% or above99%
- 4.65% or above+18.0pt99%
- 4.63% or above+16.0pt99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 9,6K €
KALSHI5Y US Treasury yield on Aug 21, 2026?
- 4.32% or above99%
- 4.3% or above99%
- 4.16% or above99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 4,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 3,2K €
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 21, 2026?
- 4.11% or above99%
- 4.15% or above99%
- 4.13% or above99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,7K €
KALSHIU.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?
- No94%
- Yes+1.0pt6%
- Volume totale
- 61,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 1,6K €
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Aug 21, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026?
- Will the US National Debt exceed $41 Trillion by the end of FY 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
- Peak US National Debt before 2027?
- US credit rating downgrade in 2026?
- Bank of Canada rate on December 31, 2026
- Treasury spread 10Y-2Y by Dec 31, 2026
- Japan 10Y Bond Yield: End of 2026
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per 2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026??
- Kalshi quota 3.96% or above al 99% al 21 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve 2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026??
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 agosto 2026.
- Come viene liquidato 2Y US Treasury yield on Aug 31, 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 3.95% on Aug 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.