KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: 4.67% or above (91%)
Risolto: 17 set 2026, 22:02
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 17 set 2026, 19:20 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
4.65% or above 99%In testa tra 25 esiti
Qualità del mercato
25 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
4,6K €
Liquidità
3,6K €
Liquidità mediaDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto16 set 26, 19:30 UTC17 set 26, 19:30 UTC
Cronologia delle Probabilità
4.73% or above30%
4.69% or above1%
4.71% or above54%
4.75% or above17%
4.67% or above77%
4.77% or above22%
4.65% or above67%
4.79% or above13%
4.59% or above99%
4.61% or above88%
4.63% or above78%
4.51% or above99%
4.53% or above99%
4.55% or above99%
4.57% or above99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
91%
58%
58%
28%
19%
11%
7%
2%
1%
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
KalshiHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
PolymarketHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
PolymarketHow high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
LimitlessAsset Sensibili al Macro
Regole
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.50% on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 17, 2026, or one week following Sep 17, 2026.
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.52% on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.54% on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.56% on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.58% on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 436,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 33,9K €
KALSHISOFR for September 17, 2026
- 3.66% or Above94.3%
- Exactly 3.63%0.9%
- Exactly 3.62%0.9%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 22,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 22,4K €
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.5pt9%
- Below 4.73%+4.2pt7%
- Below 4.51%+0.3pt3%
+6 altri esiti
KALSHIWhich countries’ U.S. Treasury holdings will increase in 2026?
- United Kingdom+8.0pt82%
- UAE82%
- France63%
+9 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 11,2K €
KALSHIHow high will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- 5.31% or above99%
- 5.32% or above99%
- 5.33% or above99%
+17 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 40,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,4K €
POLYMARKETHow low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 5.24%-3.0pt33%
- Below 5.21%+2.0pt17%
- Below 5.18%+4.5pt11%
+6 altri esiti
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- How high will 30-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 18, 2026?
- How high will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will the 10Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- How low will the 30Y US Treasury yield get by Sep 30, 2026?
Cripto correlate
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 17, 2026??
- Kalshi quota 4.65% or above al 99% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 17, 2026??
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 17, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 17 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 17, 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.50% on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.