KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiNessuna attività di trading
Dati al 31 ott 2026, 15:17 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Punto medio del book selezionato
4.46% or above · —
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Prezzo registrato
4.46% or above 86%In testa tra 15 esiti
4.46% or above 86%Qualità del mercato
24 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Open interest
0 USD
Open interest sconosciutoBid / Ask
— / —
4.46% or aboveSpread
—
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 35 minuti fa
30 ott 26, 19:30 UTC6 nov 26, 20:30 UTC
Il grafico e le variazioni mostrano probabilità storiche salvate, non il book selezionato in tempo reale.
Trend
Riga selezionata: punto medio del book. Altre righe: riferimenti salvati, eventualmente normalizzati; le variazioni a 24h usano lo storico salvato.
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 1h (indicativo)
Profondità di mercato · 4.46% or above
Caricamento del book selezionato…
—
Asset Sensibili al Macro
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
Kalshi2Y US Treasury yield on Nov 2, 2026?
KalshiWill the 30Y US Treasury yield hit 6% in October?
KalshiWill the 10Y US Treasury yield hit 5.50% by Oct 31, 2026?
KalshiWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsUS Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
PolymarketRegole
If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.45% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:U.S. Department of the Treasury
- The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Nov 6, 2026, or one week following Nov 6, 2026.
Regole per ogni esito
- 4.46% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.45% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.48% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.47% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.5% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.49% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.52% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.51% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.54% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.53% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.56% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.55% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.58% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.57% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.6% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.59% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.62% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.61% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.64% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.63% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.66% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.65% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.68% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.67% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.7% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.69% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.72% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.71% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4.74% or above
- If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.73% on Nov 6, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.