Unemployment in May 2026

4.0% (24h)EconomiaOne-Off

KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione

Questo mercato si è risolto: Above 4.2% (76%)

Risolto: 5 giu 2026, 14:13

Esito Vincente

Above 4.2%

A 7 giorni

—

A 24 ore

71%

Consenso

Probabilità implicita attuale

Above 4.2% 76%+4.0%

In testa tra 10 esiti

Qualita del mercato

36 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

496,9 €

Liquidità

1,5K €

Bassa liquidità

Bid / Ask

73.0% / 80.0%

Spread

9.6%

Spread ampio

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 giorni fa

Obsoleto

8 mag 26, 19:005 giu 26, 12:29

Cronologia delle Probabilità

Above 4.1%95%

Above 4.4%8%

Above 4.3%45%

Above 4.0%99%

Above 4.2%70%

Above 4.5%1%

Esito24hProbabilità

Above 4.2%

+4.0%

76%

Above 4.1%

+3.0%

98%

Above 4.4%

+4.0%

Above 4.3%

+9.0%

45%

Above 4.8%

+1.0%

Above 4.5%

-1.0%

Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.

Regole

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.9% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.0% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.1% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.2% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.3% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.4% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercati Correlati

Unemployment in June

38,3 €

Above 4.1%: 89%

KALSHI

Unemployment in November

10,6 €

Above 4.5%: 18%

KALSHI

Unemployment in October

2,4 €

Above 4.6%: 17%

KALSHI

US recession by end of 2026?

1,8K €

Sì: 18%

POLYMARKET

What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

710 €

Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.: 86.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

259,3 €

Sì: 27.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,183.63+0.70%

EthereumETH$1,679.60+0.26%

SolanaSOL$68.22+1.10%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0882-3.82%

XRPXRP$1.15+0.83%

BNBBNB$608.39-0.14%

Regole

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.9% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.0% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.1% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.2% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.3% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.4% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Unemployment in May 2026

4.0% (24h)EconomiaOne-Off

KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione

Questo mercato si è risolto: Above 4.2% (76%)

Risolto: 5 giu 2026, 14:13

Esito Vincente

Above 4.2%

A 7 giorni

—

A 24 ore

71%

Consenso

Probabilità implicita attuale

Above 4.2% 76%+4.0%

In testa tra 10 esiti

Qualita del mercato

36 / 100

Bassa qualità

Volume 24h

496,9 €

Liquidità

1,5K €

Bassa liquidità

Bid / Ask

73.0% / 80.0%

Spread

9.6%

Spread ampio

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 giorni fa

Obsoleto

8 mag 26, 19:005 giu 26, 12:29

Cronologia delle Probabilità

Above 4.1%95%

Above 4.4%8%

Above 4.3%45%

Above 4.0%99%

Above 4.2%70%

Above 4.5%1%

Esito24hProbabilità

Above 4.2%

+4.0%

76%

Above 4.1%

+3.0%

98%

Above 4.4%

+4.0%

Above 4.3%

+9.0%

45%

Above 4.8%

+1.0%

Above 4.5%

-1.0%

Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.

Regole

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.9% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.0% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.1% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.2% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.3% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.4% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercati Correlati

Unemployment in June

38,3 €

Above 4.1%: 89%

KALSHI

Unemployment in November

10,6 €

Above 4.5%: 18%

KALSHI

Unemployment in October

2,4 €

Above 4.6%: 17%

KALSHI

US recession by end of 2026?

1,8K €

Sì: 18%

POLYMARKET

What will happen in 2026 related to AI?

710 €

Sam Altman will continuously be CEO of OpenAI until the end of the year.: 86.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Mexico's real GDP grow by at least 1.6% in 2026?

259,3 €

Sì: 27.8%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,183.63+0.70%

EthereumETH$1,679.60+0.26%

SolanaSOL$68.22+1.10%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0882-3.82%

XRPXRP$1.15+0.83%

BNBBNB$608.39-0.14%

Regole

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 3.9% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.0% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.1% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.2% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.3% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.4% in May 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.