KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
38.8% 80.2%In testa tra 9 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
82 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
98,8K €
Liquidità
72,8K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 16 minuti fa
25 set 26, 14:01 UTC26 set 26, 16:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:RealClearPolitics
- The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.6pt15%
+50 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mld €
- Volume 24h
- 787,4K €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.8%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.8%
- Gavin Newsom13.9%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 198,3 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 574,3K €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party+0.3pt92%
- Republican Party-0.7pt8%
- Volume totale
- 32,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 543,8K €
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-2.0pt60.6%
- D-House, R-Senate-1.0pt30.3%
- Republicans sweep+0.2pt8.1%
+1 altri esiti
KALSHIMaine Senate winner?
- Troy Jackson-3.0pt63%
- Susan Collins+3.0pt37%
- Volume totale
- 5,9 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 393,6K €
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- March 31+1.5pt80%
- December 31+2.5pt66%
- November 30+1.0pt49%
+20 altri esiti
- Texas Senate winner?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Next French Presidential Election
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Ohio Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Kansas Senate winner?
- Bluest state to elect a Republican senator in 2026?
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 26, 2026??
- Kalshi quota 38.8% al 80.2% al 25 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 26, 2026??
- Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 26, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 26 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Trump's RCP approval average on Sep 26, 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 26, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.