Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain?
Bonds & TreasuriesOne-OffCriptoFedStablecoinTokenization / RWA3m
KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
No 91%
Qualità del mercato
45 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
3,3K €
Liquidità mediaBid / Ask
1.3% / 9.0%
Spread
7.7 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 13 minuti fa
3 dic 25, 23:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
US Treasury transactions on blockchain by December 31?
PolymarketWill the US treasury "be put on the blockchain" by the end of 2026?
Manifold Markets10Y US Treasury yield at year-end?
KalshiWill blockchain technology be used for storing at least 10% of global GDP by 2027?
Manifold Markets2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Kalshi30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
KalshiRegole
If the U.S. Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:ReutersAxiosPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalABCCBSCNNFox NewsMSNBC
- For purposes of this Contract, "Treasury" includes sub-bodies of the Treasury including the Bureau of the Fiscal Service, the Office of Financial Research, or a Treasury-authorized entity conducting a public transaction.
- The Payout Criterion includes central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), stablecoins, tokenized U.S. government securities, and other assets the Treasury formally recognizes as blockchain-based.
- The transaction must occur on a blockchain network that allows for public verification or is explicitly referred to by Treasury as blockchain-based.
- The following will trigger the Payout Criterion:
- If Treasury orders a blockchain-based disbursement, but the Federal Reserve executes it as its fiscal agent, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Bonds & TreasuriesPOLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
- 4.5%+11.2pt100%
- 4.6%+4.9pt100%
- 4.8%+7.9pt100%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 282,7K €
- Volume 24h
- 12,2K €
POLYMARKETHow high will 10-year Treasury yield go in September?
- 4.82%+23.5pt72%
- 4.85%+0.5pt42%
- 4.88%+2.5pt28%
+6 altri esiti
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get in September?
- Below 4.76%-2.0pt77%
- Below 4.73%-12.5pt64%
- Below 4.70%-32.0pt27%
+6 altri esiti
KALSHI2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.31% or above99%
- 4.37% or above99%
- 4.33% or above99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,1K €
- Volume 24h
- 3,1K €
KALSHI10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 4.66% or above99%
- 4.68% or above99%
- 4.74% or above99%
+12 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 2,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 2,3K €
POLYMARKETHow low will 10-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
- 4.0%+0.3pt100%
- 3.9%-1.1pt8%
- 3.5%5%
+6 altri esiti
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- 2Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 5Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
- How high will 5-year Treasury yield go in September?
- UST par yield curve (2Y) at end of Q3 2026
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- 30Y US Treasury yield on Sep 30, 2026?
- 10Y US Treasury yield on Sep 11, 2026?
- How low will 5-year Treasury yield get in September?
- How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in September?
- 7Y US Treasury yield on Sep 9, 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain??
- Kalshi quota No al 91% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain??
- Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Will the US Treasury have any transactions on the blockchain??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the U.S. Department of the Treasury sends any funds or assets via a blockchain after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.