KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
claude-opus-5-high 61.7%+9.0ptIn testa tra 5 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualita del mercato
75 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
35,4K €
Liquidità
75,4K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
3.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
3 ago 26, 15:0031 ago 26, 14:00
Trend
Regole
If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
- If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
- If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
- Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
- If claude-opus-5-high is the top-ranked AI model on Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
AI
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- Seattle62.5%
- Tennessee37.5%
- Volume totale
- 39,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 38,5K €
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- October 2026-0.5pt69%
- September 2026-2.0pt14%
- November 2026-4.0pt5%
+14 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 60,2K €
- Volume 24h
- 33,2K €
GEMINIArthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe
- Arthur Fils99%
- Frances Tiafoe1%
- Volume totale
- 32,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 32,9K €
POLYMARKETGemini 4.0 released by which date?
- November 30-3.5pt81%
- October 31-14.5pt57%
- September 30-4.0pt19%
+4 altri esiti
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.7pt63.8%
- Grok+5.0pt14.3%
- ChatGPT-1.5pt10.5%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 7,9 Mln €
POLYMARKETBest Chinese AI Company end of August?
- Alibaba+0.5pt93%
- Company A50%
- Other50%
+22 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Top AI model in August?
- Kalshi quota claude-opus-5-high al 62% al 24 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Top AI model in August?
- Top AI model in August dovrebbe risolversi il 31 agosto 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Top AI model in August?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on Aug 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.